3 of the best performers in the top 5 launched on @MetaDAOProject.
The 3 worst performers launched on @legiondotcc.
so is that it? Have futarchy and ownership won while the rest is trash?
--> The truth is that the main difference between these ICOs is the FDV at launch. Not necessarily futarchy or ownership.
FRAG, SKATE, and ALMANAK (the worst performers) all launched with a low float and a +$50M FDV.
Retail buyers on Legion bought at a very high price. And a high FDV at launch limited the upside tremendously = doomed chart and holders are cooked.
On the other hand, the 3 best performers on MetaDAO (Omnipair, Avici, and Umbra) all launched with a sub-$10M FDV.
➝ Ranger launched at a +$17M FDV (not 100% sure of the exact figure) and saw a buyback proposal within 24 hours of the TGE because it traded below NAV = clear FDV punishment.
➝ The same happened with P2P. There was a lack of bids at a +$15M FDV.
The market has changed in recent years, and retail investors are done being extracted.
Proph3t, in his latest article, acknowledged that MetaDAO’s greatest successes were those that didn't raise too much (implying a reasonable FDV).
This is the way. Looking forward to the next ICO on MetaDAO.
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@MetaDAOProject @legiondotcc As mentioned by @metaproph3t in his last recap:
https://t.co/UWKHeijfTb https://t.co/Jk0DJiZWxm
. @fantasy_top_ pushing prediction markets feels like a natural next step, not a gimmick.
Instead of just numbers, they’re opening markets around people, moments, and culture on X. The kind of things everyone already has opinions on, but never had a clean way to express onchain.
The mechanics are thoughtful too. Trades run on FRAG without inflating supply, fees flow into burns after the treasury is made whole, and losses don’t get patched by emissions. That’s a detail most people will miss, but it matters.
Curious to see what kinds of markets actually emerge once people start using it. @ParallelAiRev
1/2 Fragmentic clearly shows the flaws of airdrop farming era:
TVL down by 89% but $FRAG is down 97% to ... $1m market cap despite no hacks/rugs.
They raised $12m Seed round from Robot Ventures, Hashed, BitGo etc.
Simple truth: they failed to find PMF and farmers left. https://t.co/OilkJNDgPb
2/2 Contrast $FRAG to $KMNO:
TVL up by 2.5x to $2.5b while $KMNO itself trading flat (despite multiple airdrops). https://t.co/1faw421BNi
