Career Opportunities

Forecasting Manager

Published on 2026-02-04 10:16

Role Mission

We are building a next-generation prediction market product. Our goal goes beyond simple “event betting” — we aim to create a core mechanism for information aggregation, risk pricing, and market consensus formation, deeply integrated with decentralized wallets, trading tools, and asset ecosystems.

We are looking for a leader whose core strengths lie in product and growth, capable of designing a prediction market from 0 to 1, and solving critical early-stage challenges such as cold start, liquidity, retention, and scalable growth.

 

Key Responsibilities

1. Prediction Market Product Strategy & Mechanism Design

  • Own the overall product positioning, mechanism design, and long-term roadmap of the prediction market, including:

    • Market structure (AMM / Order Book / hybrid models)

    • Event type design (macro, financial, crypto, social, policy, etc.)

    • Settlement, dispute resolution, and incentive mechanisms

  • Balance market efficiency, user experience, regulatory boundaries, and long-term scalability.

2. Product Execution & User Experience

  • Lead the end-to-end core product design of the prediction market:

    • Full user journey covering event creation, participation, trading, and settlement

    • Information display, probability representation, and presentation of returns and risks

  • Translate complex mechanisms and rules into intuitive, understandable, and accessible user experiences.

3. Growth Strategy & Cold Start

  • Take ownership of user growth and liquidity growth outcomes for the prediction market:

    • Cold start strategies (seed markets, key events, core users)

    • Growth model design (incentives, virality, content-driven growth, KOLs, communities)

  • Continuously optimize key metrics such as acquisition, activation, engagement, retention, and repeat usage.

4. Liquidity & Market Health

  • Collaborate closely with liquidity, trading, or market-making teams to:

    • Design and optimize liquidity incentive mechanisms

    • Monitor and improve market depth, fill rates, and price efficiency

  • Ensure the long-term health of the prediction market, rather than short-term, speculation-driven activity.

5. Cross-Team & Ecosystem Collaboration

  • Work closely with wallet, trading, asset, engineering, and compliance teams.

  • Drive positive flywheel effects between the prediction market and the company’s broader product ecosystem.

 

Qualifications

Basic Requirements

  • 5+ years of experience in product or growth roles, with at least 3+ years as a core product or business owner.

  • Proven experience building products from 0 to 1 or successfully launching and scaling new businesses.

  • Strong product and growth background, with accountability for business outcomes.

Core Competency Profile

  • Strong product judgment: deep understanding of complex, mechanism- and rule-driven products.

  • Growth mindset: ability to design and validate growth models, not just ship features.

  • Sensitivity to market mechanisms: solid understanding of the relationship between probability, pricing, incentives, and user behavior.

  • Data-driven: able to rapidly validate hypotheses through data and iterate continuously.

English Proficiency (Required)

  • Excellent English listening, speaking, reading, and writing skills, with the ability to:

    • Conduct professional-level business communication and meetings in English

    • Read and understand English technical documentation, research materials, and industry content

    • Write product proposals, PRDs, and external-facing materials in English

  • Experience with international products or overseas markets is a plus.

Preferred Qualifications

  • Prior experience in:

    • Prediction markets, betting, financial derivatives, or trading products

    • Web3 / DeFi / decentralized application products

    • Community-driven or content-driven growth

  • Familiarity with crypto and global macro events is a plus.

Reporting Line & Career Growth

  • Reports directly to core company leadership or the head of new business.

  • Full ownership of product and growth decision-making for the prediction market business.

  • Opportunity to grow the prediction market into a standalone and strategically important core business line within the company.

Kindly click the link below if you are interested in applying for this position or referring a suitable candidate.

https://g471ooa6k2a.sg.larksuite.com/share/base/form/shrlgUIImcYl31HeBkSzOY24SGf 

 

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