Lighter (LIT)

my honest view: lighter can do bigger % upside than hyperliquid, but only if it proves it can become distribution-first, not just another perp dex. right now the setup is actually interesting: → ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 is around $2.4–$2.5 → circulating market cap is around $600m → FDV is around $2.45b → lighter is already doing around $1.35b perp volume/day and $40b+ perp volume in 30d → protocol revenue annualized is around $72m, with trading fee revenue flowing into buybacks / holders revenue mechanics. that means lighter is not just “narrative.” it already has real volume, real fees, real revenue, and a buyback loop. my prediction framework hyperliquid:native at $70 doing a 5x means $350 hype. that puts hyperliquid in a monster valuation zone. not impossible, but it needs to become the onchain binance for perps. for lighter, because the starting market cap is much smaller, the upside can be more violent. at current ~$2.4: → base case: $6–$8 that’s just reclaiming / slightly pushing above its previous ATH of $7.86. this is very possible if volumes keep growing and market sentiment improves. → bull case: $15–$25 this happens if lighter becomes the clear #2 perp dex after hyperliquid, gets stronger liquidity, better markets, better mobile UX, and keeps growing through Robinhood / Telegram-style distribution. Robinhood said eligible users can access Lighter perps inside Robinhood Wallet, and Wallet in Telegram also launched perps via Lighter. → crazy cycle case: $40–$60 this is where lighter starts getting priced as a serious onchain exchange, not just a token. at $50, LIT would be around $12.5b circulating market cap and $50b FDV if total supply is 1b. Expensive, but not insane if the market starts valuing perp dexes like the future of crypto trading. → mania case: $80–$100+ possible only in full bull mania + hyperliquid going much higher + lighter becoming the robinhood/telegram-native perp layer. this is not my base case, but crypto does stupid things when revenue, distribution, and narrative line up. my personal target i would not be shocked to see LIT at $20–$30 in a strong cycle. that’s roughly 8x–12x from $2.40. the “how crazy can it go” number is $50+, but for that lighter needs to prove it is not just following hyperliquid. it needs its own lane. what lighter needs to do: → keep volume growing from $1b/day toward $5b–$10b/day → improve liquidity so big traders can enter without bad slippage → add more markets: crypto, stocks, commodities, forex-style perps → make Robinhood Wallet / Telegram trading feel stupidly simple → keep buybacks strong and transparent → avoid ugly token unlock pressure → become the easiest perp dex for normal users, not just crypto degens the big bet is simple: hyperliquid is the onchain binance for pro traders. lighter can become the onchain robinhood for perps. that second market can be massive. so my clean prediction: hype: $70 → $350 = 5x lit: $2.40 → $20–$30 = 8x–12x bull case lit crazy case: $50+ if distribution really hits not financial advice, but from a pure risk/reward angle, lighter has more upside because it is starting from a much smaller base. *views are personal*

It’s true ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 is this cycles solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112

$LIT (per request) Top Goon X buy approaching alert at $1.00 worked out nicely. Breakout entry on the ascending triangle would've been a nice opportunity. For now needs to hold yesterday's candle base. At a key resistance but I wouldn't fade a strong trend like this right now. Would look for bullish continuation patterns on LTF for now as it's a bit hard to chase at this resistance on HTF

#Lighter NFT is coming soon. @fuegonft $LIT has risen, let's look at the NFT next. https://t.co/pM2Bp2A53c

You can own both ya know

Hung out with some cows on my honeymoon, came back feeling bullish. Aped LIT last week, aped ZEC this week\n\nFeels bad longing ZEC after losing money on it last month, but gotta have a memory of a goldfish and let the past be in the past.\n\nGreen candle therapy back on the menu https://t.co/YYM87FhFzv

Hylerliquid maxis will get short squeezed on $LIT rather than hold both and make twice as much money HyperLit https://t.co/6w8bhLmfCo

Live now with Deeze talking markets, Trump accounts, LIT, Punks, what we're trading and more https://t.co/vrPlkrAxUa