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How to Choose Master

Published on 2025-12-03 07:10

Core Concept: The Three-Point Check

First Check: Profit Stability (30% Weight)

  • Key Metrics: ROI + Max Drawdown
  • Excellent Standards:
    • 30-Day ROI > 10%
    • Max Drawdown < 20%
    • Equity curve shows a steady upward trend
  • Warning Signs:
    • Drawdown exceeds 35%
    • Equity curve has major fluctuations
    • Experiences sharp, short-term gains and losses
  • Simple Test: Does the equity curve look like a "steady mountain climb" rather than a "rollercoaster"?

Second Check: Risk Management (40% Weight)

  • Key Metrics: P&L Ratio + Win Rate Combination
  • Healthy Combination:
    • P&L Ratio > 2.0 (Profits on winning trades are at least double the losses on losing trades)
    • Win Rate > 50% (More than half of all trades are profitable)
  • Acceptable Combination:
    • High P&L Ratio (>3) + Moderate Win Rate (40-50%)
    • Moderate P&L Ratio (1.5-2) + High Win Rate (>65%)
  • Dangerous Combination:
    • P&L Ratio < 1.5 AND Win Rate < 50%
  • Simple Rule: The trader should either "win big" or "win often"—ideally both.

Third Check: Sound Trading Practices (30% Weight)

  • Key Metrics: Trading Frequency + Asset Diversification
  • Reasonable Range:
    • Average Daily Trades: 2-20 (Avoids over-trading, except for quant traders)
    • Top 3 Traded Assets: < 70% of total volume (Ensures investment is diversified)
    • Average Hold Time: > 1 hour (Avoids ultra-short-term gambling)
  • Warning Signs:
    • Average Daily Trades > 20 (Potential over-trading)
    • Top 3 Traded Assets > 90% (Excessively concentrated risk)
    • Average Hold Time < 10 minutes (Resembles gambling)

 

Practical Scoring Table

 

Quick Scorecard (Total 100 Points)

Evaluation Dimension Weight Scoring Criteria Score
Profit Performance 30 pts 30-Day ROI: >15% (30 pts) / 10-15% (20 pts) / 5-10% (10 pts) / <5% (0 pts)  
Risk Control 25 pts Max Drawdown: <15% (25 pts) / 15-25% (15 pts) / 25-35% (5 pts) / >35% (0 pts)  
P&L Management 25 pts P&L Ratio: >3 (25 pts) / 2-3 (20 pts) / 1.5-2 (10 pts) / <1.5 (0 pts)  
Trading Discipline 20 pts Win Rate >60% (10 pts) + Diversification <70% (10 pts)  
Total Score 100 pts 80+ (Excellent) / 60-79 (Good) / 40-59 (Average) / <40 (Avoid)  
 

 

Systematic Selection Process

 

Step 1: Preliminary Screening (30-Second Filter)

Go to the Trader List Page ↓ Sort by 30-Day ROI (Filter for > 8%) ↓ Check Max Drawdown (Exclude > 30%) ↓ Check Trading Days (Select > 30 days) ↓ Get a Shortlist of Candidates

Step 2: In-depth Analysis

For each candidate trader:

  • Review the Equity Curve (1 minute)
    • Is the curve steadily rising?
    • Does it recover quickly after significant drawdowns?
    • Has recent performance been stable?
  • Check Trader Metrics (1 minute)
    • Are there any obvious weaknesses?
    • Are the overall metrics balanced?
    • Are the risk metrics acceptable?
  • Verify Data Authenticity (1 minute)
    • Is the number of copiers sufficient (>50)?
    • What is the percentage of profitable copiers (>60%)?
    • Is the profit-sharing data reasonable?

Step 3: Final Decision

Portfolio Allocation Suggestion:

  • Core Trader (50% of capital): Score 80+, Drawdown <15%
  • Supporting Trader 1 (25% of capital): Score 70+, complementary style
  • Supporting Trader 2 (25% of capital): Score 70+, different asset preference

Risk Settings:

  • Max Copy Amount per Trader: Do not exceed 30% of your total capital.
  • Total Stop-Loss: Stop all copy trades if your account drawdown reaches 25%.
  • Periodic Review: Check performance once a week.

 

Avoiding Pitfalls

 

Common Mistakes

  • Looking only at ROI rankings: Short-term surges could be due to luck or high-risk trading.
  • Ignoring drawdown metrics: High returns paired with high drawdowns are unsustainable.
  • Blindly following popular traders: Popularity does not always equal quality.
  • Frequently changing traders: Give excellent traders enough time to demonstrate their abilities.

Warning Signs

  • 🚩 Max drawdown suddenly increases (e.g., jumps from 15% to 35%).
  • 🚩 Trading style suddenly changes (e.g., from conservative to aggressive).
  • 🚩 Win rate and P&L ratio decline simultaneously.
  • 🚩 A significant drop in the number of copiers.
  • 🚩 A recent losing streak of 7 consecutive days.

 

Practical Checklist

 

Pre-Copying Checklist:

  • [ ] 30-Day ROI > 8%
  • [ ] Max Drawdown < 25%
  • [ ] P&L Ratio > 1.8
  • [ ] Trading Days > 60
  • [ ] Number of Copiers > 30
  • [ ] You have set your personal stop-loss strategy.

Monitoring Checklist (During Copying):

  • [ ] Check ROI changes weekly.
  • [ ] Monitor if the drawdown is increasing.
  • [ ] Observe changes in trading frequency.
  • [ ] Compare performance with other copiers.

 

Explanation of Metrics

 

Core Metrics Explained

  • ROI (Return on Investment)
    • Calculates the percentage return on your invested capital, accounting for all deposits and withdrawals.
    • Formula: (Final Equity + Total Withdrawals - Initial Investment - Total Deposits) / (Initial Investment + Total Deposits)
  • Max Drawdown
    • The largest peak-to-trough decline the account has experienced. A smaller value indicates greater stability. A value under 30% is generally acceptable.
    • Reflects the trader's risk control under worst-case scenarios.
  • P&L (Profit & Loss) Ratio
    • The ratio of the average profit on winning trades to the average loss on losing trades. A value >2 indicates good risk management.
    • Calculation: (Sum of all profits from winning trades) ÷ (Sum of all losses from losing trades)
  • Win Rate
    • The percentage of profitable trades out of the total number of trades.
    • Note: A high win rate does not necessarily mean high profit; it must be assessed alongside the P&L ratio.
  • Top 3 Assets Percentage
    • The percentage of total trading volume concentrated in the top 3 most-traded assets.
    • A lower value indicates more diversification, which typically means lower risk.
  • NAV (Net Asset Value) Index
    • Reflects the trader's account performance, unaffected by deposits or withdrawals.
    • A value of 1.2 indicates a 20% growth from the initial value.

 

Risk Disclosure

 

⚠️ Important Disclaimer:

  • Copy trading involves the risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
  • Please allocate your funds reasonably according to your own risk tolerance.
  • It is recommended to diversify by copying multiple traders to avoid concentrated risk.
  • Monitor your copy trading performance regularly and adjust your strategy as needed.

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