The Three Core Metrics of X Insight

1. Social Sentiment Index (SSI) - The Market Thermometer 🌡️

Definition: A comprehensive score (0-100) that evaluates a cryptocurrency's social activity and sentiment on Twitter.

• 0 - 30: Cold. Low interest and engagement.
• 30 - 70: Normal. Stable and moderate interest.
• 70 - 100: Hot. High interest and significant attention.

Weight Distribution:

• 📊 Social Activity (40 pts): Measures current discussion volume against historical levels.
• 😊 Sentiment Positivity (30 pts): The ratio and intensity of bullish vs. bearish sentiment.
• 👥 KOL Mentions (30 pts): Mentions by KOLs across different tiers of influence.

2. Market Alert Ranking (MPR) - The Anomaly Detection Radar 📡

Definition: Identifies anomalous social signals. A higher rank (e.g., #1, #2) indicates a stronger signal.

Three Detection Dimensions:

• 🚨 Social Anomaly: The degree to which discussion volume deviates from the norm.
• 🎭 Sentiment Polarization: The degree of extremity and consensus in market sentiment.
• 🔄 KOL Attention Shift: Attention from new, high-impact KOLs.

3. KOL Consensus - The Expert Opinion Barometer 🎯

Definition: Quantifies the level of agreement among top-tier KOLs on a scale of 0-100%.

• ≥70%: High Consensus. Opinions are convergent.
• 40-70%: Moderate Consensus. Some disagreement exists.
• ≤40%: Low Consensus. Opinions are divided and contested.

Engagement Metrics

Each tweet displays three key engagement metrics:

• Likes: Indicates agreement or approval.
• Retweets: Indicates amplification and reach (this metric is weighted more heavily).
• Replies: Indicates the level of discussion and active debate.

High engagement typically means the viewpoint has garnered significant market attention. However, it is crucial to note:

• High engagement does not necessarily validate the correctness of the viewpoint.
• Controversial content can also generate high engagement.
• It is recommended to assess the information in conjunction with the KOL's tier and the quality of the content.

Interpreting Metrics in Combination

• Scenario 1: Convergent Signal
  • SSI: High (>70)
  • MPR: Low Rank
  • KOL Consensus: High (>70%)
  • Interpretation: The market shows high interest and strong agreement, indicating a relatively clear trend.
• Scenario 2: Divergent Signal
  • SSI: High (>70)
  • MPR: High Rank (#1-3)
  • KOL Consensus: Low (<40%)
  • Interpretation: Social activity is anomalous, yet expert opinions are highly divided. This situation requires careful judgment.
• Scenario 3: Early Signal
  • SSI: Moderate (40-60)
  • MPR: Sudden increase in rank
  • KOL Consensus: In flux / changing
  • Interpretation: This could be the early stage of a new trend and warrants close attention.

How the Metrics Are Calculated

SSI Calculation Method

• Social Activity: Based on a comparison of current mention volume to its 7-day average.
• Sentiment Positivity: Calculated using a weighted five-level sentiment scale (from "very bullish" to "very bearish").
• KOL Mentions: A weighted score based on mentions from KOLs of different tiers.

MPR Calculation Method

• Social Anomaly: Uses a Z-score to measure the deviation of mention volume from the norm.
• Sentiment Polarization: The product of sentiment extremity and uniformity.
• KOL Attention Shift: The number of new high-impact KOLs that have recently started engaging with the coin.

KOL Tiering Criteria

The tiering process is fully automated and based on objective data, with no subjective judgment involved.

• Formula:

  $$ \text{Influence Score} = \text{Follower Score (30%)} + \text{Engagement Score (40%)} + \text{Impression Score (30%)}$$

• Detailed Calculation:
  • Follower Score: A logarithmic calculation based on the total follower count.
  • Engagement Score: (Likes + (Retweets × 3) + (Replies × 2)) / Number of Tweets / Follower Count
  • Impression Score: Average Impressions / Follower Count
• Automatic Tiering:
  • S-Tier: 85-100 (Top-Tier Influence)
  • A-Tier: 70-84 (High Influence)
  • B-Tier: 55-69 (Medium Influence)
  • C-Tier: 40-54 (General Influence)

This objective calculation method ensures the fairness and comparability of the tiering system.