fading this account now is worse than holding LUNA during Terra stablecoin collapse https://t.co/P7eMHlojEH
fading this account now is worse than holding LUNA during Terra stablecoin collapse https://t.co/P7eMHlojEH
fading this account now is worse than selling SOL at $8 during FTX https://t.co/vpvcTyLLA2
oh man, this sentence hits so hard
"everyone knew deep down none of it was real, and the bearer of the cost ultimately fell to the retail investor holding the hot potato till the very end"
in the previous two cycles (2016/2017 and 2020/2021) people still believed in projects. i didn't, but many people around me did. they would meet at a conference and unironically talk about how their smart contract automation would solve a problem. and although i do believe that many founders sincerely tried to build something useful, the inherent uselessness of utility tokens made all their efforts futile bc even if the product was useful, the token didn't capture it's value. but people still believed in previous cycles
in the last cycle, i hardly met a single person who still believed in any crypto projects, including the founders. the majority of conversations i had with founders were about manipulative market making activities, fomo inducing go-to-market strategies and all talk was investment related
no crypto bro spoke about holding ANY project long term. they all just wanted to ride a hype wave and then dump that shit harder the price of luna after the depeg. there are a handful of exceptions but it really is just a handful
i repeat the problem again:
some crypto projects are useful. tokenising assets to be able to use it in defi is useful. dexes are useful. lending protocols are useful. stablecoins are insanely useful. but 99.9% of crypto projects are useless bc they solve a made up problem and, more importantly, their token was just an extraction event to get money from retail into the pockets of founders and vcs
one of the worst parts about the last bull was the constant thoughtslop about vc-bloated infra projects with no path to revenue
everyone knew deep down none of it was real, and the bearer of the cost ultimately fell to the retail investor holding the hot potato till the very end
Phase one of crypto neobanks included Outlet Finance, Donut, Linus and a few others.
The yield came from a mix of defi lending, centralized crypto lenders, token incentives and subsidized protocols like Anchor on Terra.
Terra did not directly power all of them, but its collapse exposed how fragile and interconnected the crypto market structure was.
The contagion hit Celsius, Voyager, Blockfi and Genesis, ultimately impacting all crypto consumer products.
Phase two is what we are seeing today.
The source of yield is now a combination of tbills, stablecoins and defi vaults, and the game has become enabling anyone in the world to access the US dollar.
But I believe the category is already becoming crowded, and most will struggle to survive. The winners today will not be the winners of phase three, which I believe is already underway.
Phase three will be a combo of generalist neobanks (likely incumbents or brands/creators with distribution) and highly industry specific neobanks, but the biggest opportuni